Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.280351 0.321823 0.366362 0.417637 0.474920 0.536826 0.608667
2025-11-30 0.211252 0.266863 0.331419 0.411409 0.507340 0.618142 0.755216
2025-12-07 0.159152 0.220364 0.296840 0.398247 0.527879 0.686632 0.894162
2025-12-14 0.125309 0.189194 0.274660 0.395196 0.558292 0.768500 1.056608
2025-12-21 0.098433 0.161631 0.251890 0.386755 0.579017 0.838508 1.209431
2025-12-28 0.084095 0.148881 0.246919 0.400941 0.630512 0.952593 1.429305
2026-01-04 0.072395 0.137688 0.242019 0.413708 0.680199 1.067311 1.658275
2026-01-11 0.060967 0.124544 0.231730 0.416228 0.713911 1.160763 1.862919
2026-01-18 0.051339 0.112493 0.221092 0.416213 0.742721 1.248030 2.063444
2026-01-25 0.043201 0.101451 0.210275 0.414033 0.766991 1.329107 2.258911
2026-02-01 0.036561 0.091900 0.200502 0.412022 0.790588 1.409842 2.457914
2026-02-08 0.030956 0.083256 0.190976 0.408944 0.811435 1.486741 2.654581
2026-02-15 0.025831 0.074633 0.180362 0.402906 0.827151 1.557432 2.847928
2026-02-22 0.022703 0.069969 0.177090 0.410504 0.867963 1.672977 3.122051
2026-03-01 0.019072 0.063146 0.168088 0.405482 0.884734 1.748068 3.332667
2026-03-08 0.016473 0.058357 0.162779 0.407272 0.914340 1.847271 3.589737
2026-03-15 0.013830 0.052700 0.154462 0.401504 0.928406 1.919151 3.802943
2026-03-22 0.012723 0.051309 0.156203 0.417943 0.988090 2.077731 4.177257
2026-03-29 0.011625 0.049654 0.157003 0.432274 1.044469 2.233230 4.553540
2026-04-05 0.010189 0.046455 0.153257 0.435556 1.077911 2.347168 4.859763
2026-04-12 0.008839 0.043123 0.148561 0.435938 1.105030 2.450282 5.150789
2026-04-19 0.007599 0.039767 0.143177 0.433907 1.126554 2.543451 5.427417
2026-04-26 0.006538 0.036715 0.138099 0.431955 1.147918 2.637230 5.709277